C-reactive protein as a predictor of postoperative infective complications following elective colorectal resection.
Objective: C-reactive protein (CRP) may be useful in predicting postoperative complications [1]. We investigated the sensitivity and specificity of postoperative CRP for infective complications after elective colorectal surgery.
Methods: One hundred and sixty consecutive patients (72 years old; interquartile range, 63-79) undergoing elective resection for colorectal cancer treated between September 2003 and October 2006 were studied. Details of the postoperative course were prospectively entered into a database. Of the 160 patients, 10 had incomplete CRP data and were excluded from further analysis.
Results: Infective complications occurred in 21%, with an overall complication rate of 29%. Infective complications occurred as follows: respiratory (10), wound (9), urinary tract (2) and central line infection (1), anastomotic leakage (5), intra-abdominal abscess (3) and septicaemia of unknown origin (2). There were three postoperative deaths. The positive predictive value for infection of CRP > 145 mg/l on postoperative day 4 was 61%. The negative predictive value of CRP < 145 mg/l on postoperative day 4 for an infective complication was 96%.
Conclusions: A CRP > 145 mg/l on day 4 has high specificity and sensitivity for infective complications following elective colorectal resection.