Long-term aspirin does not lower risk of stroke and increases bleeding risk in low-risk atrial fibrillation ablation patients.

Background: Stroke risk is a significant concern in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Low stroke risk patients (CHADS2 VASc 0-2) are often treated long-term with aspirin after catheter ablation. Defining the long-term risks versus benefits of aspirin therapy, after an ablation, is essential to validate this common clinical approach.

Methods: A total of 4,124 AF ablation patients undergoing their index ablation were included in this retrospective observational study. We compared 1- and 3-year outcomes for cerebrovascular accident (CVA), transient ischemic attack (TIA), gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding, genitourinary (GU) bleeding, any bleeding, and AF recurrence among patients receiving: none, aspirin, or warfarin as long-term therapies.

Results: Patient distribution by CHADS2 VASc scores was as follows: 0: 1,143 (28%), 1: 1,588 (39%), and 2: 1,393 (34%). Significantly higher incidents of: female gender, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, and vascular disease were seen with higher CHADS2 VASc scores (P < 0.0001 for all). At 3 years, 238 (5.9%) patients were on warfarin, 743 (18.6) on aspirin, and 3,013 (75.5%) on no therapy; with occurrences of CVA/TIA (1.4%, 3.0%, 3.9%, P < 0.0001, respectively), GI bleeding (0.8%, 1.9%, 1.1%, P = 0.06, respectively), and GU bleeding (1.7%, 2.8%, 2.1%, P = 0.008, respectively) that increased with advancing CHA2 DS2 VASc score. There was a significantly increased risk for both CVA/TIA with aspirin therapy, when compared to no therapy or warfarin therapy in general, and across all CHA2 DS2 VASc scores.

Conclusions: After catheter ablation, low risk patients do not benefit from long-term aspirin therapy, but are at risk for higher rates of bleeding when compared to no therapy or warfarin.