A preliminary study using spinal MRI-based radiomics to predict high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities in multiple myeloma.

Objective: We aimed to investigate the feasibility of predicting high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities (HRCAs) in patients with multiple myeloma (MM) using a spinal MRI-based radiomics method.

Methods: In this retrospective study, we analyzed the radiomic features of 248 lesions (HRCA [n = 111] and non-HRCA [n = 137]) using T1WI, T2WI, and fat suppression T2WI. To construct the radiomics model, the top nine most frequent radiomic features were selected using logistic regression (LR) machine-learning processes. A combined LR model incorporating radiomic features and basic clinical characteristics (age and sex) was also built. Fivefold external cross-validation was performed, and a comparative analysis of 10 random fivefold cross-validation sets was used to verify result stability. Model performance was compared by plotting receiver operating characteristic curves and the area under the curve (AUC).

Results: Comparable AUC values were observed between the radiomics model and the combined model in validation cohorts (AUC: 0.863 vs. 0.870, respectively, p = 0.206). The radiomics model had an AUC of 0.863, with a sensitivity of 0.789, a specificity of 0.787, a positive predictive value of 0.753, a negative predictive value of 0.824, and an accuracy of 0.788 in the validation cohort, which were comparable with the performance in the training cohorts.

Conclusions: Radiomic features of routine spinal MRI reflect differences between HRCAs and non-HRCAs in patients with MM. This MRI-based radiomics model might be a useful and independent tool to predict HRCAs in patients MM.