Melanoma-specific survival before and after inclusion in a familial melanoma dermatologic surveillance program in CDKN2A mutation carriers and non-carriers.

Background: Inherited mutations in the CDKN2A gene are among the strongest known risk factors for cutaneous melanoma. Further, previous studies have reported inferior melanoma-specific survival in CDKN2A mutation carriers.

Objective: Here, the melanoma-specific survival was studied, depending on CDKN2A carrier status and if the melanomas had been diagnosed before or after families were included in a surveillance program.

Methods: Melanoma-prone families participating in this study were identified through a nationwide preventive program starting in 1987. Information on melanoma tumours and deaths was obtained through the Swedish Cancer Registry and Cause of Death Registry. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess melanoma-specific survival in four defined cohorts, CDKN2A mutation (MUT) carriers with first invasive melanoma before or after inclusion [MUT-pre (n = 53) and MUT-post (n = 43)] and likewise in CDKN2A wild type (WT) cases [WT-pre (n = 255) and WT-post (n = 122)].

Results: The MUT-pre and MUT-post cases were diagnosed with their first invasive melanoma at a significantly younger ages (38 and 42 years, respectively) than the WT-pre and WT-post cases (48 and 57 years, respectively). The melanomas in the MUT-pre had significantly higher T stage compared with MUT-post (p = 0.006), whereas no such difference was seen comparing WT-pre with WT-post (p = 0.849). MUT-pre had compared with WT-pre, significantly worse melanoma-specific survival, unadjusted (HR 2.33, 95% CI 1.33-4.08, p = 0.003) adjusted (HR 2.70, 95% CI 1.46-5.00, p = 0.001). However, the MUT-post cases had compared with the WT-post cases, no significant survival differences.

Conclusions: This study is the first to address the impact on survival from introducing a dermatologic surveillance program to familial melanoma cases with or without CDKN2A mutations. The CDKN2A-mut carriers appeared to have a clear benefit with less advanced melanomas diagnosed and better melanoma-specific survival after inclusion. Among the CDKN2A-wt cases, the effect of the inclusion on the studied outcomes was less evident.