Maximum standardised uptake value of positron emission tomography as a predictor of oesophageal cancer outcomes.

Objective: This study aimed to analyse the value of pre-operative 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (PET)-computed tomography that can predict tumour pathological complete response, tumour histology grade, overall survival, and recurrence-free survival in patients with locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by surgery.

Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the cases of patients with locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing NCRT followed by surgery. Patients who did not undergo PET within 3 months of surgery were excluded. We set a pre-operative PET maximum standardised uptake value (SUVmax) of > 5 as the threshold and classified the patients into two groups. We analysed the tumour response and histology grade, and compared the overall survival and recurrence-free survival between the two groups.

Results: This cohort included 92 patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent NCRT followed by surgery; 49 patients had a pre-operative PET SUVmax < 5, and 43 patients had a pre-operative PET SUVmax > 5. The patients' pre-operative PET SUVmax correlated with tumour histology, ypT stage, and tumour response. Patients with a pre-operative SUVmax < 5 had better 2-year-overall survival (78% vs. 62%, P < 0.05) and 2-year recurrence-free survival (62% vs. 34%, P < 0.05) than those with a pre-operative SUV > 5.

Conclusions: Pre-operative SUVmax may be useful to predict tumour response, survival, and recurrence in patients with locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma who undergo NCRT followed by surgery.