Diagnostic Performance of Publicly Available Large Language Models in Corneal Diseases: A Comparison with Human Specialists.

Background/

Objectives: This study evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of seven publicly available large language models (LLMs)-GPT-3.5, GPT-4.o Mini, GPT-4.o, Gemini 1.5 Flash, Claude 3.5 Sonnet, Grok3, and DeepSeek R1-in diagnosing corneal diseases, comparing their performance to human specialists.

Methods: Twenty corneal disease cases from the University of Iowa's EyeRounds were presented to each LLM. Diagnostic accuracy was determined by comparing LLM-generated diagnoses to the confirmed case diagnoses. Four human cornea specialists evaluated the same cases to establish a benchmark and assess interobserver agreement.

Results: Diagnostic accuracy varied significantly among LLMs (p = 0.001). GPT-4.o achieved the highest accuracy (80.0%), followed by Claude 3.5 Sonnet and Grok3 (70.0%), DeepSeek R1 (65.0%), GPT-3.5 (60.0%), GPT-4.o Mini (55.0%), and Gemini 1.5 Flash (30.0%). Human experts averaged 92.5% accuracy, outperforming all LLMs (p < 0.001, Cohen's d = -1.314). GPT-4.o showed no significant difference from human consensus (p = 0.250, κ = 0.348), while Claude and Grok3 showed fair agreement (κ = 0.219). DeepSeek R1 also performed reasonably (κ = 0.178), although not significantly.

Conclusions: Among the evaluated LLMs, GPT-4.o, Claude 3.5 Sonnet, Grok3, and DeepSeek R1 demonstrated promising diagnostic accuracy, with GPT-4.o most closely matching human performance. However, performance remained inconsistent, especially in complex cases. LLMs may offer value as diagnostic support tools, but human expertise remains indispensable for clinical decision-making.