Clinical assessment by MRI for patients with stage II cervical carcinoma treated by radiation alone in multicenter analysis: are all patients with stage II disease suitable candidates for chemoradiotherapy?

Objective: From recent randomized trials, patients with Stage II cervical carcinoma are thought to be candidates for chemoradiotherapy. To refine the strategy for Stage II patients, we performed a retrospective multi-institutional analysis using MRI.

Methods: From three institutions, 84 patients with Stage II cancer diagnosed by MRI were entered into the study. All patients received intracavitary brachytherapy with (n = 83) or without (n = 1) external beam radiotherapy. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the prognostic factors for overall survival (OAS), disease-free survival (DFS), pelvic control (PC), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS).

Results: The 5-year DFS rate of patients with maximal tumor size (D(max)) > or =50 mm (46.2%) was significantly lower than that for patients with D(max) <50 mm (88.0%; p <0.0001). Large size or volume and lymph node swelling were also significant prognostic factors of OAS, DFS, PC, and DMFS. In the multivariate model, size or volume was a significant prognostic factor of OAS, DFS, PC, and DMFS, and lymph node swelling was a prognostic factor for DFS, PC, and DMFS. Using these two prognostic factors, patients were divided into 3 subgroups. The 5-year DFS rate of patients with risk 0 (D(max) <50 mm and negative lymph node swelling), 1 (D(max) > or =50 mm or positive lymph node swelling), and 2 (D(max) > or =50 mm and positive lymph nodes) was 93.2%, 53.3%, and 25.0%, respectively (p <0.0001).

Conclusions: In this stage-limiting analysis, we clarified the stratification according to clinical risk with the aid of MRI. For patients with low-risk factors, especially for elderly patients, radiation alone would probability be a feasible option. In the future, a randomized trial using criteria with MRI would help to identify the optimal strategy for patients with Stage II disease.